It's Only Week 3 - An Extremely Brief Analysis of Early Season Advance Rate
I currently have a 10.7% advance rate, but unlike many other drafters in the best ball space, I'm not freaking out (ok maybe just a little bit). The majority of my teams were zero or hero RB teams, where I leaned into the concept of antifragility (here&
Best Ball Mania V Jaccard Similarities and Diversification Percentiles
Underdog released the Best Ball Mania V data last Tuesday, and it was like Christmas morning for best ball nerds! Best ball community hero Patrick Donovan (@Diablo_II on Twitter) got his incredible site BBMDB up and running with all the individual exposures, advance rates, roster combos, and more. Best
Underdog Battle Royale Data Analysis
With the release of the Underdog Battle Royale data, we have 18 slates that we can analyze. The objective of this analysis is to provide insights we can use to consistently beat the Battle Royale game format. This article will be a first look at macro trends, it will not
Toying with Week 16 Correlation
With the flattening of the Week 17 prize structure in Best Ball Mania V, there has been plenty of discourse surrounding prioritizing game stacking in Week 16. Neil Farley shared this Twitter thread demonstrating that if we were able to precisely control our win rate for a given week, Week
A Dash of Diversification
In the article Stop Diversifying Your Picks. Start Diversifying Your Teams. I used Jaccard similarity to explore best ball portfolio diversification. If you haven't read that article already, you're going to want to do that before reading this one, as there will be some concepts that
Stop Diversifying Your Picks. Start Diversifying Your Teams.
As the best ball community continues to advance in its understanding of strategy, portfolio diversification is garnering more attention. However, the best way to implement a properly diversified portfolio is still being debated. Some drafters in the discourse prefer concentrating their bets; when correct on a player take, they want
Way Too Early Best Ball Draft Strategy
The day was Monday, January 29th. With the Conference Championship games completed, my playoff best ball dreams all but dashed, and only the Super Bowl remaining as the final slate of the season... I was ready for a little bit of a break from the grind of the NFL. I
Sortino Ratio: A New Floor/Ceiling Combo Metric
In fantasy football, there are tons of different metrics that we use to help us evaluate players. But despite the laundry list of tools available to fantasy football analysts, we don't have a simple measure of a player’s floor/ceiling combo. Other analysts have made attempts to