NFL Playoff Odds
I'm excited to announce that our NFL playoff odds are now live. They're updated through last night's game and will be updated as we get more results.
They require the base LegUp subscription to access. You can check them out here.
I've also added a link at the top of the Legendary Upside homepage.
These are the same odds that power the Playoff Best Ball Sidekick. To provide dynamic rankings, we needed odds for each NFL team making the playoffs, being the No. 1 seed, and making it to the conference championship game.
To create these odds, we run 100,000 simulations that consider the strength of a team, the strength of their opponents, playoff tiebreakers, and seeding logic.
These probabilities are now available for you to peruse.
The first three columns in the table are very simple. For each team, we display:
- 1 seed
- Odds of a team being their conference's No. 1 seed.
- Make Playoffs
- Odds a team makes the playoffs.
- Conf Champ Prob
- Odds of a team to make the conference championship game.
We also have columns listing the probability of facing specific opponents in the conference championship game. For example, we calculate a Lions/Eagles Conference championship as happening nearly half the time (49%). A Chiefs/Bills matchup is nearly as likely on the AFC side (48%). But there a lots of plausible matchups beyond the top seeds that these odds should help you dig into.
Enjoy!
Sackreligious
Sackreligious
